León vs Monterrey analysis

León Monterrey
82 ELO 83
-0.6% Tilt 5.8%
385º General ELO ranking 328º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
44.4%
León
25.4%
Draw
30.2%
Monterrey

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
León
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.2%
Win probability
Monterrey
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
León
-9%
+11%
Monterrey

Points and table prediction

León
Their league position
Monterrey
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
28
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Toluca
37
37
100%
América
34
34
100%
Cruz Azul
33
33
0%
Tigres UANL
33
33
0%
Necaxa
31
31
100%
León
30
30
100%
Monterrey
28
28
0%
Pachuca
28
28
0%
FC Juárez
24
25
100%
Pumas UNAM
10º
21
21
10º
52.5%
Chivas Guadalajara
11º
21
21
11º
52.5%
Tijuana
12º
19
19
12º
70%
Atlas FC
13º
18
18
13º
0%
Querétaro
15º
17
18
14º
0%
Atl. San Luis
14º
18
18
15º
52.5%
Mazatlán
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Puebla
17º
9
9
17º
100%
Santos Laguna
18º
7
7
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
León
Monterrey
Final Series
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

León
Monterrey
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2025
CAZ
Cruz Azul
2 - 1
León
LEO
44%
25%
32%
83 83 0 0
13 Apr. 2025
LEO
León
1 - 0
Puebla
PUE
63%
22%
15%
83 73 10 0
05 Apr. 2025
QRO
Querétaro
1 - 1
León
LEO
28%
26%
46%
83 77 6 0
31 Mar. 2025
LEO
León
1 - 2
Pumas UNAM
PUM
46%
25%
29%
83 83 0 0
23 Mar. 2025
LEO
León
1 - 1
Municipal
MUN
78%
15%
7%
83 60 23 0

Matches

Monterrey
Monterrey
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2025
MON
Monterrey
1 - 0
América
AME
46%
25%
29%
83 83 0 0
13 Apr. 2025
TIG
Tigres UANL
2 - 1
Monterrey
MON
44%
26%
31%
83 83 0 0
06 Apr. 2025
MON
Monterrey
3 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
51%
25%
24%
83 83 0 0
30 Mar. 2025
MON
Monterrey
1 - 2
Tijuana
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
83 79 4 0
17 Mar. 2025
PUM
Pumas UNAM
1 - 3
Monterrey
MON
45%
25%
30%
83 83 0 0