León vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 4
LEO
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
LEO
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
UAT
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MER
2 - 1
LEO
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LEO
6 - 1
DOR
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 2
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 0
LOB
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
LOB
3 - 1
ALT
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 3
LOB
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 0
LOB
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |