Clausura Ascenso MX Semi-finals
Global 3-2
León vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2008 |
DUR
0 - 0
LEO
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAZ
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
CAZ
0 - 2
LEO
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
PUM
0 - 4
LEO
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
LEO
4 - 3
LOB
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2008 |
DUR
0 - 0
LEO
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
DUR
0 - 0
TIG
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
TIG
0 - 0
DUR
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MEX
1 - 2
DUR
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
DUR
1 - 1
PUM
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |