León vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
UDG
0 - 1
LEO
29%
26%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
LEO
2 - 1
CSL
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
LEO
1 - 0
AGU
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
TIG
0 - 0
LEO
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
LEO
2 - 1
TOR
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 0
AGU
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
TIG
2 - 1
DUR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
DUR
1 - 1
TOR
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
GUE
1 - 0
DUR
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
DUR
0 - 0
TEC
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |