León vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
DOR
4 - 3
LEO
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LEO
3 - 3
ACA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
TRO
1 - 0
LEO
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
ORI
2 - 0
LEO
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
LEO
1 - 0
COB
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
DUR
0 - 3
ORI
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
DUR
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
DUR
3 - 3
MEX
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
MER
2 - 2
DUR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
DUR
2 - 1
TOR
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |