León vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
LEO
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 0
ORI
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
UAT
3 - 2
LEO
39%
26%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
UAT
1 - 0
LEO
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 2
CDT
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 0
LOB
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MER
3 - 1
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 1
MER
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 0
JAG
67%
21%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |