Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
León vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
LEO
0 - 2
MON
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LEO
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
LEO
1 - 0
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
QRO
1 - 1
LEO
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
LEO
1 - 2
PUM
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TIG
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
TIG
1 - 1
CAZ
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
TOL
2 - 2
CAZ
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LEO
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AME
0 - 0
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |