Liga MX Finals - Clausura Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
León vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TIJ
1 - 2
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
TIG
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 2
BOL
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
PUM
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
MOR
5 - 1
CAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 2
PAC
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |