Leoben vs Wörgl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Leoben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
WOR
1 - 1
LBN
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
SCA
1 - 0
LBN
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
LBN
1 - 0
UNT
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
RIE
1 - 2
LBN
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 0
LBN
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Wörgl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
WOR
1 - 1
LBN
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
RIE
5 - 2
WOR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
WOR
1 - 1
SCA
37%
26%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2004 |
WIN
5 - 2
WOR
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
KAP
4 - 0
WOR
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |