Lentigione vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
LEN
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
TRI
68%
19%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 2
LEN
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 0
ACP
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
RAV
3 - 1
LEN
38%
28%
35%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 1
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
GHI
1 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
RIM
4 - 0
PRO
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
FAN
13%
18%
69%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +3 |