Lens vs Sochaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
LEN
0 - 0
NAN
47%
25%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
LEN
1 - 0
LMU
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 0
LEN
26%
28%
46%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 0
GIR
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
AUX
2 - 0
LEN
49%
27%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
SOC
0 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
AUX
2 - 0
SOC
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
LMU
2 - 2
SOC
25%
28%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
SOC
1 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
SOC
2 - 0
AJA
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |