Lens vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
LEN
4 - 3
CHA
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
ANG
3 - 2
LEN
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 0
GAZ
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
DIJ
2 - 1
LEN
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VAN
2 - 0
SPI
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 2
SPI
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
BOU
2 - 1
SPI
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CAB
2 - 1
SPI
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
SPI
1 - 1
NAN
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |