Lens vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
LIL
0 - 0
LEN
45%
28%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 1
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PSG
3 - 4
LEN
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2005 |
HER
0 - 0
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 0
MET
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAM
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 1
SAM
40%
29%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 0
EMP
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
SAM
0 - 0
HER
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 0
SAM
39%
28%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |