Lens vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
LEN
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 1
WSB
59%
23%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 0
TUB
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
NAN
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
NIC
2 - 1
LEN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
RED
0 - 1
LUS
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
AUX
1 - 2
RED
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
RED
3 - 3
AMI
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
FRE
3 - 4
RED
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
RED
4 - 0
IST
69%
21%
11%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |