Lens vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 0
LEN
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 3
LOR
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
KVK
2 - 1
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
ORL
2 - 0
LEN
33%
27%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 2
LEN
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
QUE
2 - 0
ASN
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 2
QUE
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
QUE
0 - 2
CLE
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
GAZ
1 - 0
QUE
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 4
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |