Lens vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 1
LEN
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
LEN
3 - 2
MET
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
TOU
3 - 1
LEN
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 1
LUS
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LHA
6 - 2
LEN
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
NÎM
2 - 1
CAE
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
NÎM
1 - 1
CLE
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
NIO
2 - 1
NÎM
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
NÎM
1 - 2
ARL
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
MET
2 - 2
NÎM
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |