Lens vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 3
GIR
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 0
LEN
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 2
SED
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
CLE
1 - 0
LEN
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 0
AUX
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
NÎM
1 - 1
DIJ
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 1
NÎM
34%
29%
37%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
NÎM
0 - 1
LHA
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
LMU
0 - 3
NÎM
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
NÎM
1 - 1
TOU
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |