Lens vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
LEN
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NAN
1 - 1
LEN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
LEN
0 - 1
STR
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LYO
3 - 2
LEN
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
LEN
2 - 1
BRE
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 3
GIR
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
MET
1 - 1
NIC
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
NIC
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NIC
2 - 2
LOR
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NIC
1 - 4
LYO
23%
23%
54%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |