Lens vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
LEN
67%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 2
ASS
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LEN
4 - 1
UDI
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 1
REI
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MPL
3 - 1
LOR
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 0
MON
19%
23%
58%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
LOR
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
LOR
1 - 0
ANG
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 1
LOR
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |