Lens vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LEN
0 - 2
TFC
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
LEN
0 - 2
LYO
20%
24%
57%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LMU
3 - 0
LEN
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
MPL
3 - 4
LEN
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SOC
1 - 0
LOR
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LOR
4 - 1
NIC
46%
28%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TFC
0 - 1
LOR
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
PSG
33%
29%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
GRE
60%
24%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |