Lens vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
51.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GIR
2 - 3
LEN
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 2
LOR
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
LEN
67%
19%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 2
ASS
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
LIL
0 - 0
WOL
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
LOR
2 - 1
LIL
18%
25%
58%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LIL
2 - 1
MPL
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ASS
1 - 1
LIL
24%
25%
52%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LIL
0 - 4
NIC
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |