Lens vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
LEN
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 2
GIR
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
LEN
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
LIL
1 - 1
PSG
19%
23%
58%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
KRA
1 - 1
LIL
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
REI
2 - 0
LIL
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
EVE
3 - 0
LIL
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |