Lens vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2002 |
LEN
1 - 1
BYM
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
GIR
1 - 0
LEN
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2002 |
ACM
2 - 1
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
LEN
1 - 0
REN
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
LYO
1 - 0
LEN
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
LIL
2 - 1
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
MPL
1 - 0
LIL
41%
30%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
LIL
2 - 1
PSG
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
STR
2 - 2
LIL
44%
29%
27%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
STU
2 - 0
LIL
55%
26%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |