Lens vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1997 |
NIC
1 - 2
LEN
32%
29%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
REN
2 - 2
LEN
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
LEN
2 - 1
AUX
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1997 |
MET
2 - 0
LEN
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1997 |
LIL
1 - 2
CAN
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1997 |
MON
2 - 0
LIL
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1997 |
LIL
0 - 4
MPL
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1997 |
NAN
1 - 0
LIL
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASN
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |