Lens vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1945 |
CAN
1 - 0
LEN
50%
21%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1945 |
LEN
1 - 1
RED
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1945 |
REI
1 - 2
LEN
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1945 |
LEN
5 - 1
SÈT
40%
23%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1939 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASS
45%
22%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1945 |
LIL
1 - 0
LHA
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1945 |
MET
0 - 3
LIL
41%
22%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1945 |
LYO
1 - 2
LIL
58%
19%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1945 |
LIL
5 - 1
CAN
69%
16%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |