Lens vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
TOU
0 - 0
LEN
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ARM
0 - 6
LEN
7%
15%
78%
|
71 | 31 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
STL
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
NÎM
1 - 2
LEN
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 0
CAE
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
ARL
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
STL
1 - 2
GUI
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 0
IST
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
LMU
0 - 2
GUI
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
TOU
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |