Lens vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
LEN
1 - 3
GAZ
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MON
2 - 0
LEN
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
LEN
3 - 2
MPL
59%
23%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
GAZ
3 - 0
LEN
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PSG
0 - 1
LEN
52%
25%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 2
SOC
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
AUX
3 - 0
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
LIL
1 - 3
GUI
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
MET
3 - 0
GUI
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
GUI
1 - 0
TFC
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |