Lens vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
BAS
3 - 1
LEN
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LEN
0 - 0
TRO
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
SED
1 - 1
LEN
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
GIR
2 - 1
LEN
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
LEN
2 - 0
REN
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
GUI
2 - 1
GIR
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
MPL
2 - 1
GUI
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
GUI
0 - 1
PSG
29%
27%
43%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
SOC
1 - 0
GUI
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
GUI
4 - 3
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |