Lens vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
LEN
31%
28%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 0
ESW
78%
17%
5%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
STL
0 - 1
LEN
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
LHA
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
AUX
1 - 1
LEN
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
GAZ
4 - 1
AJA
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
OLY
0 - 1
GAZ
9%
17%
74%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 0
GAZ
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 1
SOC
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CLE
3 - 1
GAZ
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |