Lens vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
DIJ
2 - 1
LEN
45%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
STA
0 - 3
LEN
13%
20%
67%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
LHA
2 - 2
LEN
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 0
ARL
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LEN
2 - 1
REN
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
GAZ
0 - 1
LHA
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 0
GAZ
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
GAZ
3 - 2
IST
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 0
GAZ
66%
20%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
GAZ
3 - 1
STL
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |