Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 5-0
Lens vs Torpedo Kutaisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
NAN
2 - 0
LEN
44%
27%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
LEN
0 - 0
LMU
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
LEN
2 - 0
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
LHA
1 - 3
LEN
28%
29%
44%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
LEN
1 - 0
TRO
63%
22%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
FTK
0 - 0
LAZ
88%
9%
3%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
DTB
3 - 0
FTK
60%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
FTK
2 - 0
DBA
79%
14%
6%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
FTK
2 - 1
LOK
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2003 |
WIT
0 - 1
FTK
34%
27%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |