Lens vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 0
LEN
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
0 - 1
VAL
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 1
LEN
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 0
BRE
46%
29%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LHA
2 - 0
LEN
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
ETG
1 - 1
BOU
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
RED
2 - 2
ETG
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
ETG
1 - 0
PFC
68%
21%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
AUX
3 - 1
ETG
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
ETG
0 - 1
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |