Lens vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
ASS
3 - 3
LEN
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
REI
0 - 0
LEN
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 2
LYO
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
LEN
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ETG
0 - 1
GIR
35%
27%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
ETG
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ETG
1 - 0
TFC
41%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ETG
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PSG
4 - 2
ETG
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |