Lens vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 2
MON
42%
28%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
CLE
2 - 0
LEN
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LEN
2 - 1
TRO
71%
20%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 0
TOU
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
IST
2 - 1
LEN
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ETG
0 - 1
DIJ
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 1
ETG
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ETG
1 - 0
NIC
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 2
ETG
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
ETG
4 - 3
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |