Lens vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
18%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
GAZ
0 - 4
LEN
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 1
STR
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 0
STL
59%
26%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
LHA
1 - 0
LEN
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LEN
0 - 1
AUX
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
NIO
2 - 2
STR
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
LHA
0 - 0
NIO
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
NIO
0 - 3
REI
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
NIO
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
NIO
0 - 3
BRE
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |