Lens vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
QUE
2 - 1
LEN
11%
17%
72%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
AUX
1 - 2
LEN
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 0
ASN
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
CLE
2 - 2
LEN
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
STL
45%
29%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 5
NIO
6%
13%
81%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
NIO
1 - 1
MET
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
NIO
3 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
PFC
1 - 1
NIO
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
NIO
2 - 3
AUX
39%
29%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |