Lens vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1985 |
GIR
2 - 1
LEN
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1985 |
LEN
4 - 2
PSG
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1985 |
BRE
3 - 2
LEN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1985 |
LEN
0 - 1
NAN
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
LEN
3 - 0
STL
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1985 |
BAS
1 - 3
MET
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
AUX
3 - 1
BAS
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 2
TOU
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1985 |
MAR
5 - 0
BAS
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 1
LIL
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |