Lens vs Avignon AS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1975 |
ASN
3 - 0
LEN
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 0
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
BAS
0 - 0
LEN
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 2
NAN
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
SOC
3 - 2
LEN
52%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
ASA
0 - 1
MET
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
REI
4 - 1
ASA
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
STR
4 - 0
ASA
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
MON
1 - 0
ASA
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |