Lens vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
76.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
LEN
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 1
TFC
54%
23%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
LEN
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 1
MET
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MON
3 - 0
LEN
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 4
ARS
13%
21%
66%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 2
TOT
60%
20%
20%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ARS
4 - 0
PSV
75%
15%
10%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EVE
0 - 1
ARS
13%
21%
67%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |