Lens vs Antibes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
17.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
SOC
0 - 2
LEN
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
LEN
1 - 0
FIV
49%
21%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
FCR
3 - 0
LEN
65%
17%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
LEN
2 - 3
MAR
34%
21%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
OLL
2 - 0
LEN
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Antibes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
MAR
5 - 2
ANT
77%
14%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
ANT
0 - 0
FCR
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
SOC
2 - 0
ANT
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
ANT
0 - 3
FIV
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
LHA
2 - 0
ANT
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |