Lens vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
NIO
0 - 1
LEN
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 0
AUX
43%
29%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ASN
1 - 0
LEN
52%
24%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
CLE
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
STL
1 - 1
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 2
RED
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
BOU
3 - 0
AJA
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
2 - 0
NIO
44%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
MET
3 - 2
AJA
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
AJA
0 - 0
PFC
60%
25%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |