Lens U19 vs Gonfreville U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
1º
19
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 1
DRA
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 2
LEN
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LEN
1 - 2
AMI
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
REI
0 - 1
LEN
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 0
HAV
25%
22%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Gonfreville U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GON
2 - 2
LIL
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AMI
5 - 2
GON
75%
14%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GON
3 - 1
REI
51%
20%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 3
GON
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GON
2 - 0
ORL
17%
19%
63%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |