Lens II vs Vimy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
5º
2º
36
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AAC
0 - 2
LEN
22%
22%
55%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEN
6 - 0
COM
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USM
1 - 0
LEN
21%
22%
58%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LEN
1 - 1
IRI
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LON
2 - 6
LEN
14%
17%
69%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
VIM
33%
23%
45%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VIM
2 - 1
ESL
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AMI
2 - 1
VIM
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VIM
0 - 0
LIL
36%
23%
42%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIM
3 - 2
FEI
23%
23%
55%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +3 |