Lens II vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ROY
2 - 4
LEN
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LEN
4 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 0
LEN
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AUB
0 - 3
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 1
COM
39%
26%
36%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
DRA
34%
28%
39%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ROY
2 - 1
VAL
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 3
VIL
43%
26%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 1
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |