Lens II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LEN
1 - 1
SCH
55%
23%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
LEN
23%
23%
55%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
LEN
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 2
BOB
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
LEN
0 - 1
SML
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SPI
3 - 1
OLY
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BOB
3 - 4
SPI
47%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SPI
0 - 1
GOB
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SPI
8 - 1
REI
35%
26%
40%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 2
SPI
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |