Lens II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
38%
27%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
LEN
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
NAN
2 - 0
LEN
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
UJA
0 - 3
LEN
61%
21%
17%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
23%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
SPI
1 - 1
FCM
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
STR
0 - 2
SPI
37%
27%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BRC
1 - 2
SPI
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NAN
0 - 0
SPI
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SPI
0 - 1
VIL
31%
28%
41%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |