Lens II vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 0
LEN
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
LEN
0 - 0
NAN
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
LES
2 - 1
LEN
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 1
NAN
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 2
DUN
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 1
LIL
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
LSC
2 - 1
SPI
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 1
SPI
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 0
CAL
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
SPI
0 - 2
LEN
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |