Lens II vs Roye-Noyon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
LEN
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 1
AAC
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SED
2 - 1
LEN
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 0
CAL
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 0
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Roye-Noyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ROY
1 - 2
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 2
ROY
28%
28%
45%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ROY
0 - 0
ASB
35%
27%
39%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
IRI
0 - 1
ROY
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ROY
0 - 1
AUB
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |