Lens II vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
45%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 2
CHA
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LEN
0 - 0
ROY
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LIL
6 - 1
LEN
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
LEN
3 - 1
DRA
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 0
LEN
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 1
LIL
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 2
QUE
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
QUE
1 - 1
MAN
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PSG
0 - 0
QUE
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
QUE
2 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |