Lens II vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 1
LEN
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
LEH
2 - 0
LEN
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 0
PLA
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
LEN
3 - 2
LAV
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
QUE
2 - 1
CAE
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
QUE
2 - 1
DUN
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
FCR
2 - 0
QUE
54%
26%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LEH
1 - 1
QUE
42%
26%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
QUE
1 - 3
GIR
7%
19%
74%
|
44 | 87 | 43 | 0 |